Combat Edge Intelligence

Sergio Pettis vs Tyson Nam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-0Record23-14-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
RoufusportTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

Sergio Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tyson Nam carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sergio PettisNow 1752
If they win+8→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1736
Tyson NamNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-8→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
37%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
65%
Strike defense
65%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
88%
0.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Sergio PettisTyson Nam
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
4 (16%)
Submission
1 (4%)
16 (64%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Pettis92%
Tyson Nam 8%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 92% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Sergio Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1629, a 123-point edge.

Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sergio Pettis finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.