Combat Edge Intelligence

Sergio Pettis vs Will Campuzano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-0Record14-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
RoufusportTeamCampuzano Martial Arts

What's at stake

Sergio Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Will Campuzano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sergio PettisNow 1752
If they win+8→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1736
Will CampuzanoNow 1623
If they win+22→ 1645
If they lose-10→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
37%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
65%
Strike defense
57%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0.88
40%
Takedown accuracy
45%
68%
Takedown defense
48%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Sergio PettisWill Campuzano
160016501700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
4 (16%)
Submission
4 (29%)
16 (64%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Pettis85%
Will Campuzano 15%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 85% favorite over Will Campuzano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Sergio Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1623, a 129-point edge.

Sergio Pettis finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Will Campuzano 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.