Combat Edge Intelligence

Sergio Pettis vs Yaotzin Meza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-0Record23-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"Reach39,0"
134 lbsWeight145 lbs
RoufusportTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Sergio Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Yaotzin Meza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sergio PettisNow 1752
If they win+7→ 1759
If they lose-17→ 1735
Yaotzin MezaNow 1614
If they win+17→ 1631
If they lose-7→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
37%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
65%
Strike defense
65%
0.85
Takedown avg.
1.06
37%
Takedown accuracy
20%
68%
Takedown defense
18%
0.36
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Sergio PettisYaotzin Meza
16001650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
4 (16%)
Submission
9 (39%)
16 (64%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Pettis89%
Yaotzin Meza 11%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 89% favorite over Yaotzin Meza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Sergio Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1614, a 138-point edge.

Sergio Pettis finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Yaotzin Meza 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.