Combat Edge Intelligence

Seth Petruzelli vs Wilson Gouveia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight219 lbs
The Jungle MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Seth PetruzelliNow 1600
If they win+15→ 1615
If they lose-17→ 1583
Wilson GouveiaNow 1586
If they win+17→ 1603
If they lose-15→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
41%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.06
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.46
Takedown avg.
0.90
50%
Takedown accuracy
67%
48%
Takedown defense
58%
2.31
Submission avg.
2.25

Trajectory

Seth PetruzelliWilson Gouveia
1550160016502010201120122013

Win method breakdown

12 (86%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (43%)
1 (7%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Seth Petruzelli60%
Wilson Gouveia 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Seth Petruzelli a 60% favorite over Wilson Gouveia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1586), separated by just 14 points.

Seth Petruzelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Wilson Gouveia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Seth Petruzelli finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Gouveia 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.