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Combat Edge Intelligence

Seth Petruzelli vs Wilson Gouveia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight219 lbs
The Jungle MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Seth PetruzelliNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Wilson GouveiaNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
41%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.06
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.46
Takedown avg.
0.90
50%
Takedown accuracy
67%
48%
Takedown defense
58%
2.31
Submission avg.
2.25

Trajectory

Seth PetruzelliWilson Gouveia
155016002010201120122013

Win method breakdown

12 (86%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (43%)
1 (7%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Seth Petruzelli54%
Wilson Gouveia 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Seth Petruzelli a 54% favorite over Wilson Gouveia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Gouveia's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1586), separated by just 7 points.

Seth Petruzelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Wilson Gouveia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Seth Petruzelli finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Gouveia 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.