Combat Edge Intelligence

Shadid Abdurazakov vs Tim McKenzie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim McKenzie
us

Tim McKenzie

“The Wrecking Machine”

14-9-0MiddleweightSF

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-1Record14-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight174 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shadid AbdurazakovNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Tim McKenzieNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Shadid AbdurazakovTim McKenzie
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
5 (38%)
Submission
5 (36%)
5 (38%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Shadid Abdurazakov66%
Tim McKenzie 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shadid Abdurazakov a 66% favorite over Tim McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Shadid Abdurazakov finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Tim McKenzie 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.