Combat Edge Intelligence

Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
76"Reach78"
263 lbsWeight261 lbs
Peresvet FTTeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shamil AbdurakhimovNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Steven AsplundNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.41
Sig. strikes / min
10.05
44%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.64
55%
Strike defense
50%
1.01
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
0%
45%
Takedown defense
100%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shamil AbdurakhimovSteven Asplund
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
4 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (35%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund70%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 70% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Abdurakhimov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1644), separated by just 6 points.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Shamil Abdurakhimov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.

Steven Asplund carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.