Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Timothy Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-8-0Record18-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76"Reach77.50
263 lbsWeight266 lbs
Peresvet FTTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Shamil Abdurakhimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Timothy Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1660
If they lose-14→ 1636
If they win+28→ 1614
If they lose-20→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Shamil AbdurakhimovTimothy Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Timothy Johnson57%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 43%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Timothy Johnson a 57% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Abdurakhimov's way (41%).
Shamil Abdurakhimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1586, a 64-point edge.
Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Shamil Abdurakhimov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Timothy Johnson 72%.
Shamil Abdurakhimov and Timothy Johnson share 1 common opponent: Marcin Tybura.
Timothy Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.