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Combat Edge Intelligence

Shamil Erdogan vs Valter Walker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Valter Walker
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Valter Walker

“The Clean Monster”

16-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1754Great

Tale of the tape

14-0-0Record16-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'6"
79"Reach 78"
205 lbsWeight264 lbs
Krepost Fight ClubTeamGOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shamil ErdoganNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
Valter WalkerNow 1754
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
5.74
Not available
Takedown accuracy
69%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.55

Trajectory

Shamil ErdoganValter Walker
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
2 (14%)
Submission
6 (38%)
4 (29%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Erdogan60%
Valter Walker 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Erdogan a 60% favorite over Valter Walker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Valter Walker's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1754), separated by just 4 points.

Shamil Erdogan enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Valter Walker enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Shamil Erdogan finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Valter Walker 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.