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Combat Edge Intelligence

Shamil Gaziev vs Soa Palelei

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Soa Palelei
au

Soa Palelei

“The Hulk”

22-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1736Good

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78"ReachTBD
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1686 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shamil GazievNow 1729
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Soa PaleleiNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
46%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
45%
Strike defense
48%
1.06
Takedown avg.
2.20
0%
Takedown accuracy
48%
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0.26
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shamil GazievSoa Palelei
1700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
19 (86%)
3 (20%)
Submission
3 (14%)
2 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Gaziev68%
Soa Palelei 32%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 68% favorite over Soa Palelei in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Soa Palelei's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1736), separated by just 7 points.

Shamil Gaziev finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.