Shamil Gaziev vs Thomas Petersen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach74"
261 lbsWeight257 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamSpartan MMA
What's at stake
Shamil Gaziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Thomas Petersen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1741
If they lose-21→ 1709
If they win+21→ 1646
If they lose-11→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Shamil GazievThomas Petersen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Gaziev83%
Thomas Petersen 17%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 83% favorite over Thomas Petersen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Shamil Gaziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1625, a 105-point edge.
Shamil Gaziev finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.
Shamil Gaziev and Thomas Petersen share 1 common opponent: Don'Tale Mayes.
Shamil Gaziev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.