Shamil Gaziev vs Thomas Petersen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach74"
261 lbsWeight257 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamSpartan MMA
What's at stake
Shamil Gaziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Thomas Petersen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1721
If they lose-19→ 1689
If they win+19→ 1658
If they lose-13→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Shamil GazievThomas Petersen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Gaziev60%
Thomas Petersen 40%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 60% favorite over Thomas Petersen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Shamil Gaziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1639, a 69-point edge.
Shamil Gaziev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shamil Gaziev finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.
Shamil Gaziev and Thomas Petersen share 2 common opponents: Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Don'Tale Mayes.
Shamil Gaziev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.