Combat Edge Intelligence

Shamil Gaziev vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0 Record 17-3-0
Heavyweight Division Heavyweight
6'3" Height 6'4"
78" Reach 78"
261 lbs Weight 262 lbs
KHK MMA Team Team Ultimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Shamil Gaziev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Shamil GazievNow 1708
If they win+19→ 1727
If they lose-13→ 1695
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1779
If they win+13→ 1792
If they lose-19→ 1760

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.92
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.38
45%
Strike defense
57%
1.06
Takedown avg.
0.44
0%
Takedown accuracy
57%
83%
Takedown defense
73%
0.26
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Shamil Gaziev Waldo Cortes-Acosta
1700 1750 1800 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
3 (21%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (14%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta75%
Shamil Gaziev25%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 75% favorite over Shamil Gaziev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1708, a 71-point edge.

Shamil Gaziev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shamil Gaziev finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.