Shane Burgos vs Tiago Trator
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record22-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach70.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Shane Burgos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tiago Trator carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1741
If they lose-24→ 1709
If they win+36→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Shane BurgosTiago Trator
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Burgos84%
Tiago Trator 16%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Burgos a 84% favorite over Tiago Trator in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Shane Burgos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1550, a 183-point edge.
Shane Burgos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tiago Trator 64%.
Shane Burgos and Tiago Trator share 1 common opponent: Clay Collard.
Shane Burgos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.