Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Carwin vs Štefan Vojčák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach79"
254 lbsWeight260 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamOctagon Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shane CarwinNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Štefan VojčákNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.42
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Shane CarwinŠtefan Vojčák
160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
4 (33%)
Submission
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Štefan Vojčák66%
Shane Carwin 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Štefan Vojčák a 66% favorite over Shane Carwin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Carwin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Shane Carwin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Štefan Vojčák 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.