Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Carwin vs Tallison Teixeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
TBDReach83"
254 lbsWeight258 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamMaquininha do Futuro

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shane CarwinNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Tallison TeixeiraNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
47%
Strike accuracy
65%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
54%
Strike defense
43%
1.42
Takedown avg.
2.48
33%
Takedown accuracy
30%
43%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shane CarwinTallison Teixeira
160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Tallison Teixeira63%
Shane Carwin 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tallison Teixeira a 63% favorite over Shane Carwin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Carwin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.

Shane Carwin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tallison Teixeira 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.