Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Mullen vs Sirwan Kakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Academy IrelandTeamGBG MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Sirwan KakaiNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shane MullenSirwan Kakai
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (100%)
Submission
6 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Mullen60%
Sirwan Kakai 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 60% favorite over Sirwan Kakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1498), separated by just 2 points.

Sirwan Kakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sirwan Kakai 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.