Shane Roller vs Thiago Tavares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team TakedownTeamTeam Tavares
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shane RollerThiago Tavares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Tavares60%
Shane Roller 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 60% favorite over Shane Roller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1645), separated by just 9 points.
Shane Roller enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Shane Roller finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.