Shane Sobnosky vs Xavier Vasquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record4-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Furia MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shane SobnoskyXavier Vasquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Sobnosky61%
Xavier Vasquez 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Sobnosky a 61% favorite over Xavier Vasquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1556), separated by just 0 points.
Shane Sobnosky finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Xavier Vasquez 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.