Shannon Gugerty vs Spencer Fisher
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record24-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory MMATeam
What's at stake
Spencer Fisher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Shannon Gugerty carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1555
If they lose-11→ 1523
If they win+8→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Spencer Fisher63%
Shannon Gugerty 37%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Spencer Fisher a 63% favorite over Shannon Gugerty in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Spencer Fisher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1534, a 120-point edge.
Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Shannon Gugerty finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Spencer Fisher 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.