Combat Edge Intelligence

Shannon Gugerty vs Terry Etim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory MMATeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

Terry Etim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Shannon Gugerty carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Shannon GugertyNow 1535
If they win+19→ 1554
If they lose-13→ 1522
Terry EtimNow 1597
If they win+13→ 1610
If they lose-19→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
39%
Strike accuracy
36%
1.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
58%
Strike defense
67%
2.13
Takedown avg.
0.43
28%
Takedown accuracy
30%
50%
Takedown defense
39%
3.41
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Shannon GugertyTerry Etim
1500155016002010201120122013

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
11 (73%)
Submission
12 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Terry Etim61%
Shannon Gugerty 39%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Terry Etim a 61% favorite over Shannon Gugerty in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Terry Etim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1535, a 62-point edge.

Shannon Gugerty finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.