Combat Edge Intelligence

Shannon Gugerty vs Yazid Chouchane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record11-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach68"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Victory MMATeamGP Sports Miramas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shannon GugertyNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
Yazid ChouchaneNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
2.13
Takedown avg.
TBD
28%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
3.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Shannon GugertyYazid Chouchane
15001550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
11 (73%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Yazid Chouchane57%
Shannon Gugerty 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yazid Chouchane a 57% favorite over Shannon Gugerty in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shannon Gugerty's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1533), separated by just 2 points.

Shannon Gugerty finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yazid Chouchane 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.