Combat Edge Intelligence

Shay Ingram vs Te Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shay Ingram

Shay Ingram

“The Fridge”

5-1-0LightweightCWFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record6-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Renegade BJJTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shay IngramNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Te EdwardsNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.50
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.15
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shay IngramTe Edwards
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Shay Ingram60%
Te Edwards 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shay Ingram a 60% favorite over Te Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1582), separated by just 0 points.

Te Edwards enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shay Ingram finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Te Edwards 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.