Combat Edge Intelligence

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke vs TJ Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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TJ Brown
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TJ Brown

“Downtown”

20-12-0LightweightRDC

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

39-12-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
China Top TeamTeamWestside MMA

What's at stake

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — TJ Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeNow 1680
If they win+9→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1665
TJ BrownNow 1601
If they win+15→ 1616
If they lose-9→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
50%
Strike defense
49%
3.30
Takedown avg.
3.41
35%
Takedown accuracy
58%
29%
Takedown defense
37%
0.24
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeTJ Brown
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

19 (49%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
10 (26%)
Submission
12 (60%)
10 (26%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke66%
TJ Brown 34%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Shayilan Nuerdanbieke a 66% favorite over TJ Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1601, a 79-point edge.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.

TJ Brown carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.