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Combat Edge Intelligence

Sheymon Moraes vs Trey Ogden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trey Ogden
us

Trey Ogden

“Shamurai”

18-7-0LightweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
72"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Black HouseTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sheymon MoraesNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Trey OgdenNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
42%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.49
64%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
1.89
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
54%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Sheymon MoraesTrey Ogden
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Submission
11 (61%)
9 (53%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Sheymon Moraes62%
Trey Ogden 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sheymon Moraes a 62% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.

Sheymon Moraes finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.