Shido Boris Esperança vs Yoshihiro Akiyama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70.5"Reach73,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
New Generation MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shido Boris EsperançaYoshihiro Akiyama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yoshihiro Akiyama53%
Shido Boris Esperança 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yoshihiro Akiyama a 53% favorite over Shido Boris Esperança in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shido Boris Esperança's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1678), separated by just 0 points.
Yoshihiro Akiyama enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Shido Boris Esperança finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Akiyama 88%.
Yoshihiro Akiyama carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.