Combat Edge Intelligence

Shinji Sasaki vs Troy Mandaloniz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shinji Sasaki
jp

Shinji Sasaki

“Torao Supernova”

20-15-3WelterweightRFF

1513Average

Tale of the tape

20-15-3Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BurstTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shinji SasakiNow 1513
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497
Troy MandalonizNow 1512
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.10
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shinji SasakiTroy Mandaloniz
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
11 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (25%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Shinji Sasaki and Troy Mandaloniz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1512), separated by just 1 points.

Shinji Sasaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shinji Sasaki finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Troy Mandaloniz 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.