Shinya Aoki vs Will Brooks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
49-13-0Record26-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach72,0"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Paraestra TokyoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shinya AokiWill Brooks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shinya Aoki53%
Will Brooks 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shinya Aoki a 53% favorite over Will Brooks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1766 vs 1766), separated by just 0 points.
Shinya Aoki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Will Brooks enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Shinya Aoki finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Will Brooks 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.