Combat Edge Intelligence

Sho Patrick Usami vs Tariq Pell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tariq Pell

Tariq Pell

“The Tsunami”

8-2-0LightweightCWFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Battle BoxTeamBlood Sweat and Tears

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sho Patrick UsamiNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Tariq PellNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sho Patrick UsamiTariq Pell
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Pell60%
Sho Patrick Usami 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Pell a 60% favorite over Sho Patrick Usami in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1607), separated by just 3 points.

Sho Patrick Usami finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Pell 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.