Combat Edge Intelligence

Shunichi Shimizu vs Sirwan Kakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-28-10Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Polar Gym OsakaTeamGBG MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shunichi ShimizuNow 1501
If they win+12→ 1513
If they lose-12→ 1489
Sirwan KakaiNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
33%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
31%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
4
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
0%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shunichi ShimizuSirwan Kakai
15001550201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (12%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
19 (56%)
Submission
6 (50%)
11 (32%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Sirwan Kakai70%
Shunichi Shimizu 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sirwan Kakai a 70% favorite over Shunichi Shimizu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shunichi Shimizu's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1498), separated by just 3 points.

Sirwan Kakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shunichi Shimizu finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Sirwan Kakai 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.