Sidney Outlaw vs Tofiq Musayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
76"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJ· 1676 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamOrion Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1747
If they lose-12→ 1723
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sidney OutlawTofiq Musayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sidney Outlaw71%
Tofiq Musayev 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sidney Outlaw a 71% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1734), separated by just 1 points.
Sidney Outlaw enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sidney Outlaw finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.
Sidney Outlaw carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.