Sidney Silva vs Trukon Carson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Wand Fight TeamTeamGym-O
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sidney SilvaTrukon Carson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trukon Carson70%
Sidney Silva 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trukon Carson a 70% favorite over Sidney Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sidney Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.
Sidney Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sidney Silva finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Trukon Carson 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.