Simone Patrizi vs Tiequan Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Simone PatriziTiequan Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Simone Patrizi55%
Tiequan Zhang 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Simone Patrizi a 55% favorite over Tiequan Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1507), separated by just 1 points.
Simone Patrizi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tiequan Zhang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Simone Patrizi finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tiequan Zhang 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.