Combat Edge Intelligence

Solomon Simon vs Trey Ogden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trey Ogden
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Trey Ogden

“Shamurai”

18-7-0LightweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Ryano WaterfordTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Solomon SimonNow 1667
If they win+24→ 1691
If they lose-24→ 1643
Trey OgdenNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.49
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Solomon SimonTrey Ogden
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Submission
11 (61%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Solomon Simon63%
Trey Ogden 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Solomon Simon a 63% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Solomon Simon finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.