Sophie Lang vs Yasmin Guimarães
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Yasmin Guimarães57%
Sophie Lang 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Yasmin Guimarães a 57% favorite over Sophie Lang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1586), separated by just 4 points.
Sophie Lang enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Yasmin Guimarães enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sophie Lang finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yasmin Guimarães 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record10-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
63.5"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Red Hawk AcademyTeamMSP· 1622 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sophie LangYasmin Guimarães