Combat Edge Intelligence

Spencer Fisher vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-9-0Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Spencer FisherNow 1654
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1642
Thiago TavaresNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.17
Sig. strikes / min
2
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
64%
Strike defense
63%
0.67
Takedown avg.
3.83
30%
Takedown accuracy
43%
60%
Takedown defense
63%
0.75
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Spencer FisherThiago Tavares
16501700201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
9 (38%)
Submission
15 (63%)
5 (21%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Tavares58%
Spencer Fisher 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 58% favorite over Spencer Fisher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Spencer Fisher's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1645), separated by just 9 points.

Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Spencer Fisher finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.