Spike Carlyle vs Young Jae Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record10-1-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
39,0"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Spike CarlyleYoung Jae Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Young Jae Song67%
Spike Carlyle 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Young Jae Song a 67% favorite over Spike Carlyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1681), separated by just 1 points.
Young Jae Song enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Spike Carlyle finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Young Jae Song 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.