Combat Edge Intelligence

Stanislav Nedkov vs Tom Watson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tom Watson

Tom Watson

“Kong”

17-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
203 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bushido BulgariaTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Stanislav NedkovNow 1649
If they win+15→ 1664
If they lose-17→ 1632
Tom WatsonNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.41
44%
Strike defense
50%
2.77
Takedown avg.
0.15
42%
Takedown accuracy
7%
0%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Stanislav NedkovTom Watson
1650201320142015

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (17%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Stanislav Nedkov53%
Tom Watson 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Stanislav Nedkov a 53% favorite over Tom Watson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1635), separated by just 14 points.

Stanislav Nedkov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tom Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stanislav Nedkov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tom Watson 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.