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Combat Edge Intelligence

Stefan Struve vs Stipe Miocic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
7'0"Height6'4"
84,5"Reach 80"
265 lbsWeight234 lbs
Team SchrijberTeamStrong Style Fight Team

What's at stake

Stipe Miocic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Stefan Struve carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Stefan StruveNow 1663
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-9→ 1654
Stipe MiocicNow 1766
If they win+11→ 1777
If they lose-21→ 1745

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1805 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
47%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
47%
Strike defense
52%
0.56
Takedown avg.
1.74
47%
Takedown accuracy
34%
56%
Takedown defense
65%
1.68
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Stefan StruveStipe Miocic
165017001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (29%)
KO/TKO
15 (75%)
18 (64%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (7%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Stefan Struve and Stipe Miocic within a point of even.

Stipe Miocic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1663, a 103-point edge.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stefan Struve finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.

Stefan Struve and Stipe Miocic share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.

Stefan Struve carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2018
Andrei Arlovski
WinKO/TKO · 2016