Stefan Struve vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
7'0"Height6'4"
84,5"Reach 80"
265 lbsWeight234 lbs
Team SchrijberTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Stipe Miocic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Stefan Struve carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1679
If they lose-9→ 1655
If they win+11→ 1776
If they lose-21→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Stefan StruveStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stipe Miocic58%
Stefan Struve 42%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Stipe Miocic a 58% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Stipe Miocic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1664, a 101-point edge.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stefan Struve finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Stefan Struve and Stipe Miocic share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.
Stefan Struve carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.