Stefan Struve vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
7'0"Height6'2"
84,5"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team SchrijberTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
If they win+18→ 1629
If they lose-14→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Stefan StruveTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa60%
Stefan Struve 40%Elo baseline: 42%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 60% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Stefan Struve's way (42%).
Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1611, a 53-point edge.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Stefan Struve finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Stefan Struve and Tai Tuivasa share 2 common opponents: Marcin Tybura and Alexander Volkov.
Stefan Struve carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.