Stephen Costello vs Steven Kennedy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record27-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-Reach71.00
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamKickass MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Stephen CostelloSteven Kennedy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephen Costello60%
Steven Kennedy 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 60% favorite over Steven Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steven Kennedy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1536), separated by just 2 points.
Steven Kennedy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Stephen Costello finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Steven Kennedy 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.