Stephen Costello vs Tiki Ghosn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record10-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight169 lbs
SBG IrelandTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Stephen CostelloTiki Ghosn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephen Costello58%
Tiki Ghosn 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 58% favorite over Tiki Ghosn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tiki Ghosn's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.
Tiki Ghosn enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Stephen Costello finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tiki Ghosn 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.