Stephen Costello vs Tyler Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record13-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamMemphis Judo and Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Stephen CostelloTyler Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephen Costello52%
Tyler Hill 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 52% favorite over Tyler Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.
Stephen Costello finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Hill 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.