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Combat Edge Intelligence

Stephen Costello vs Willie Parks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record5-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamMean1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Stephen CostelloNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
Willie ParksNow 1535
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Stephen CostelloWillie Parks
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
2 (33%)
Submission
1 (20%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Costello63%
Willie Parks 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 63% favorite over Willie Parks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1535), separated by just 3 points.

Stephen Costello finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Willie Parks 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.