Steve Berger vs Tony DeSouza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-23-2Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Berger MMATeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
Tony DeSouza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Steve Berger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1491
If they lose-6→ 1467
If they win+8→ 1665
If they lose-24→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1479 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steve BergerTony DeSouza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tony DeSouza81%
Steve Berger 19%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Tony DeSouza a 81% favorite over Steve Berger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Tony DeSouza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1473, a 184-point edge.
Steve Berger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Steve Berger finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tony DeSouza 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.