Steve Bosse vs Thiago Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record22-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72,0"Reach 76"
202 lbsWeight241 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Marreta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steve BosseThiago Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Bosse53%
Thiago Santos 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Bosse a 53% favorite over Thiago Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Santos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1694), separated by just 8 points.
Steve Bosse enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Thiago Santos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Steve Bosse finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.
Thiago Santos carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.