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Combat Edge Intelligence

Steve Collins vs Zafar Mohsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zafar Mohsen
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Zafar Mohsen

“The Powerhouse”

15-4-0LightweightOKMMA

1670Good

Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
156 lbsWeight150 lbs
Gilbert Grappling· 1558 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKiboju Fight Fabrik Mannheim

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Steve CollinsNow 1671
If they win+24→ 1695
If they lose-24→ 1647
Zafar MohsenNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Steve CollinsZafar Mohsen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
4 (50%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Zafar Mohsen56%
Steve Collins 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zafar Mohsen a 56% favorite over Steve Collins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steve Collins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Steve Collins enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Zafar Mohsen enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Steve Collins finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Zafar Mohsen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.