Steve Garcia vs Yi Zha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record25-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
75"Reach 71"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
If they win+12→ 1734
If they lose-12→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steve GarciaYi Zha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Garcia60%
Yi Zha 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Garcia a 60% favorite over Yi Zha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1722), separated by just 1 points.
Steve Garcia finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Yi Zha 76%.
Steve Garcia carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.