Steve Montgomery vs Tony Sims
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'4"Height5'11"
75,0"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Tony Sims is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Steve Montgomery carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1606
If they lose-13→ 1574
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-19→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steve MontgomeryTony Sims
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tony Sims61%
Steve Montgomery 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Tony Sims a 61% favorite over Steve Montgomery in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Tony Sims holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1587, a 62-point edge.
Tony Sims enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steve Montgomery finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Tony Sims 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.