Steve Nelmark vs Tank Abbott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record10-15-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
250 lbsWeight250 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Tank Abbott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Steve Nelmark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+34→ 1535
If they lose-14→ 1487
If they win+10→ 1659
If they lose-22→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Steve NelmarkTank Abbott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tank Abbott74%
Steve Nelmark 26%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Tank Abbott a 74% favorite over Steve Nelmark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Tank Abbott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1501, a 148-point edge.
Tank Abbott enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tank Abbott 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.