Steven Asplund vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record14-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
261 lbsWeight205 lbs
McCune's Martial ArtsTeamCM System
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Steven Asplund carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+33→ 1653
If they lose-15→ 1605
If they win+10→ 1762
If they lose-22→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steven AsplundVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino70%
Steven Asplund 30%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 70% favorite over Steven Asplund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1620, a 132-point edge.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Steven Asplund finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.