Steven Asplund vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record15-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
261 lbsWeight205 lbs
McCune's Martial ArtsTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Steven Asplund carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1665
If they lose-11→ 1633
If they win+11→ 1778
If they lose-21→ 1746
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steven AsplundVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino92%
Steven Asplund 8%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 92% favorite over Steven Asplund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1644, a 123-point edge.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Steven Asplund finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.