Combat Edge Intelligence

Steven Asplund vs Yoshihiro Nakao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record9-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height5'11"
78"ReachTBD
261 lbsWeight215 lbs
McCune's Martial ArtsTeamTeam Tackler

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Steven AsplundNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Yoshihiro NakaoNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

10.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Steven AsplundYoshihiro Nakao
155016001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund70%
Yoshihiro Nakao 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 70% favorite over Yoshihiro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1642), separated by just 2 points.

Steven Asplund finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Nakao 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.